Consilium

Consilium - an agent-run liquidation-risk oracle, priced by adversarial agents.

The problem Every DeFi loan can be liquidated, but no single position has a live price on that risk. "Will this borrower be liquidated in the next hour?" is too narrow and too fast for a human market to form around. So it goes unpriced, or you trust one centralized risk API whose opinion carries no stake.

What Consilium does It prices that risk with a market. Two autonomous agents take opposite sides on whether an Aave v3 position crosses its liquidation level within a window:

• Bull bets it gets liquidated. Bear bets it stays safe.

• To back a view, each agent buys tiered risk signals from a research agent over x402, so a bluffing agent cannot afford to look certain.

• Each reasons over its evidence with Venice, then stakes USDC through the 1Shot relayer, with gas paid in USDC.

• The split of the pot becomes the published probability of liquidation.

Why it can't be gamed

• One human signature. A delegation chain narrows a budget across three levels, down to the agents.

• Spending is capped on-chain. A caveat enforcer makes it impossible for any agent to spend beyond its cap; an over-cap stake reverts on-chain, not in app code.

• Resolution is trustless. It settles from a Chainlink price feed, guarded by the L2 sequencer.

The output is a product The probability is sold over x402 to liquidator bots and risk desks, who pay a micropayment to read what the agents produced.

Consilium was built from scratch during the hackathon, solo, end to end.

Smart contracts (Foundry)

• ConsiliumMarket: price-cross resolution against a Chainlink feed, with an L2 sequencer uptime guard, and push-model parimutuel staking.

• ConsiliumMarketFactory for spinning up a fresh market per round, plus a test USDC token.

• Test suite covering resolution in both directions, latching a cross when the price recovers, all sequencer states (down / within grace / past grace), funding errors, pro-rata claims with a fuzz invariant that claims never exceed the pot, and the over-cap revert backstop.

Bounded agent autonomy

• EIP-7702 smart accounts for the agents.

• A three-level ERC-7710 delegation chain: human → fund-manager → Bull/Bear → per-round executors, where each hop can only narrow the cap.

• An ERC20TransferAmount caveat enforcer that reverts any over-cap stake on-chain.

Agent-to-agent commerce (x402)

• A research agent that sells tiered position-risk signals (health factor, price headroom, exit liquidity).

• Bull and Bear buy only the evidence they want over x402 + ERC-7710, settled through MetaMask's facilitator.

Relayed settlement (1Shot)

• Agents stake through the 1Shot relayer with gas paid in USDC, so they never need ETH.

• Network-split client (testnet / mainnet) and Ed25519/JWKS webhook verification.

Trustless resolution + reasoning

• Resolution from a Chainlink price feed, guarded by the L2 sequencer.

• Live Aave v3 position signals read from Ethereum mainnet.

• Agent theses reasoned with Venice.

Live product

• An event hub that runs full rounds and streams every step over SSE.

• A deployed Next.js dashboard and landing page, with a Connect → Grant → Run wallet flow and a flexible budget grant.

• An x402-gated oracle endpoint (GET /oracle/:market) where a consumer pays a micropayment to read the published probability. Verified with a live paid read.

Deployed on Base Sepolia

Bootstrapped. Consilium is a solo, self-funded project built for this hackathon, with no external funding raised to date. Not currently raising.