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Hence Markets

Hence turns your beliefs about the world into custom indices across any asset class with frontier AI.

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技术栈

React
Python
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PostgreSQL
DeepSeek
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描述

What is Hence

Hence turns a belief about the world into a trade. Type a one-line view (“AI power demand keeps rising”), and Hence's AI pipeline maps what it means downstream, builds a researched basket across stocks, crypto, commodities and event markets, and lets you buy it in one click.

Traction

Public beta since 4 Sep. As of 23 Oct: 400 sign-ups, 79 real-money traders, 3,171 trades, $1.48M routed notional and $501 in fees collected on-chain.

Backed by Antler Australia (AUS16) as of 3 weeks ago & upcoming AllianceDAO ALL19 interview at the end of October.

The problem

Retail traders come to markets with beliefs, not tickers. Furthermore, a generation is trying to trade its way out of the permanent underclass, but being right isn’t enough and trading is hard! Sizing, asset discovery, timing... If you bought Novo Nordisk on a GLP-1 thesis in 2024, you were right and down 64%, while the downstream basket by Citrini Research returned 53%.

Our mission

AI will put an asset manager in every pocket, and every asset is going onchain.
We’re making human conviction legible to markets, so anyone with a well-reasoned view can trade it.

Built on Robinhood Chain

Hence is an abstraction layer, so users trade a thesis, not a chain or a ticker. Stock legs settle as Robinhood stock tokens through direct Uniswap v3 routing, across every Robinhood-issued stock with liquidity. Every basket with a stock leg is new Robinhood Chain volume. Leveraged legs currently route to Hyperliquid (however we will also be integrating Variational as soon as that opens up).

Our moat

  • Consequence-mapping model: we continually finetune and post-train an open model on Hence’s own thesis data, to specialise in mapping a belief to its downstream trades.

  • Orchestration layer: our own pipeline makes the connections between a view and the assets it touches, then ranks, sizes and checks every leg against real pool depth before a user sees it.

  • Intent data: 249 theses showing which stocks people want, a live signal for what Robinhood Chain should tokenize next.

  • The team has developed financial primitives that gained traction and community through distribution.

Team

Ivan Seara Nunes, Co-founder & CEO:
Ex- Head of product at Fluidity ($2.5B+ volume across 25+ Arbitrum protocols) and Superposition Chain (30+ partner integration, $1.1MM Y1 ARR, 70k + Users) + developing 9lives, the first permissionless parimutuel prediction market.

Sarthak Sharma, Co-founder & COO:
Ex-Binance (GTM and product ops for new markets - APAC & EMEA), ex- Head of Product at Opyn (Acquired by Coinbase), top-20 Hyperliquid vault by ROI in 2025. He also cofounded a high performance altcoins options exchange.

Fedor Linnik, Founding GTM:
Previously led marketing at The Honey Jar (Berachain) - $100M TVL, 100k active community , launched a $1M AI-art collection before the AI wave, and exposed an NFT scam covered by Business Insider.

Links

App: https://app.hence.markets/#/thesis

Demo: https://youtu.be/sWVbmRbg6ms

X: https://x.com/hencemarkets

本次黑客松进展

Shipped share-card timeframes so users can post a basket's PnL, a Prizerail (Megapot) deposit A/B test that counts USDG on Robinhood Chain as a qualifying first deposit, and Customer.io sign-up tracking to run activation campaigns (they gave us a small $300 grant to experiment!) 5 user interviews - (one ex-Robinhood (she is based in Singapore! lucky us), one with an engineer and user we acquired from Hydromancer), various feedbacks from connections I made IRL during the hackerhouse, chats with potential partners for data as well as better execution and order routing for conditional outcomes when creating thesis mandates. Hence is almost at 400 followers on twitter! Next: Add Variational for the perp side of theses' assets.

融资状态

Pre-seed, backed by Antler (AUS16). Our focus right now is growth and user acquisition. We're interviewing with Alliance for ALL19 at the end of October. If we're accepted, we'll raise after Alliance Demo Day; if not, we'll open the round in the next 1-2 months with Antler pre-committing to 1/3rd of our upcoming round.
队长
IIvan Seara Nunes
项目链接
赛道
AIDeFiRWA