thebelief.fun is a prediction market for how events unfold, not only how they end.
thebelief.fun is a belief-market prototype built in the Arbitrum ecosystem. Participants create priced Belief Positions; continuous quotes and forced buyouts let others challenge those positions as an event unfolds. Score checkpoints, reserve-backed protection costs, and auditable settlement connect market activity to the eventual outcome. The project includes a v0.1 demo on Arbitrum Sepolia using test USDC and a v0.2 prototype on Robinhood Chain Testnet using test USDG, with Truth-Progress accounting and process/terminal rewards.